Sequential decision problems arise in virtually every human process. They span finance, energy, transportation, health, e-commerce, and supply chains and include pure learning problems that arise in laboratory or field experiments. They even cover search algorithms to maximize uncertain functions. An important dimension of every problem setting is the need to make decisions in the presence of different forms of uncertainty and evolving information processes.
Warren B. Powell's work in sequential decision problems started in the 1980s and spanned rail, energy, health, finance, e-commerce, supply chain management, and even learning for materials science. His work on a wide range of problems highlighted the importance of using a variety of methods. In the process, he came to realize that any sequential decision problem can be modeled using a single universal framework that involves searching over methods for making decisions.
The goal of this book is to enable readers to understand how to approach, model and solve a sequential decision problem. To that end, it uses a teach-by-example style to illustrate a modeling framework that can represent any sequential decision problem. It tackles the challenge of designing methods, called policies, for making decisions and describes four classes of policies that are universal in that they span any method that might be used; whether from the academic literature or heuristics used in practice. While this does not mean that every problem can be solved immediately, the framework helps avoid the tendency in the academic literature of focusing on narrow classes of methods.
The best way to learn math is by problem solving, but the challenge is that most elementary students don't know how to start thinking about a math problem that they haven't seen before. This book is especially designed to overcome this challenge by teaching seven basic problem solving strategies. The book contains more than 100 challenging problems that are suitable for elementary-school students, along with their step-by-step solution to help the reader master these strategies.
This book will help you:
- Learn seven useful problem solving strategies that can be used in many challenging math problems.
- Ace your math tests in school, even the challenge problems that your teacher gives
- Get prepared for various math contests and education programs for gifted students, such as the GATE and Math Kangaroo.
- Become an independent learner via the step-by-step instructions of this book.
- Stay ahead of the curriculum when transitioning into higher grades and the middle school.
- Become a creative thinker who can succeed in STEM fields.
- Turn into a life-long math enthusiast who enjoys thinking and problem solving.
Accounting for Risk is about using accounting information to assess risk and the required return for bearing that risk. The focus is on investing in firms and the equity claims on firms: How much should an investor discount the price of a share in a firm for risk, and how can accounting information help to answer that question? That discount is variously called the required return, the expected return, or the cost of capital.
The monograph links two strands of research - the first is accounting-based valuation research where value is assessed from expected cash flows, earnings, or residual earnings. The focus has been on forecasting those payoffs however forecasting payoffs is only one part of valuation. The other issue is how those expected payoffs should be discounted for risk. This monograph engages the question whether accounting information aid in the determination of risk and the discount rate? The second strand of research is asset pricing. While asset pricing might suggest this research is involved in determining prices, it is actually in pursuit of the required return to investing - the risk discount to price. Can accounting information about risk and return be utilized in building operational pricing models?
Accounting for Risk also enhances financial statement analysis. While traditional financial statement analysis-ratio analysis-was conducted without much reference to finance theory, modern financial statement analysis derives from accounting-based valuation models that are based on the no-arbitrage theory on the pricing of expected dividends. That brings accounting and finance closer together. The key is an understanding of the accounting principles underlying the recognition and measurement in the financial statements. This requires an appreciation of how accounting handles risk, thereby generating accounting numbers that convey information about risk and expected return.